COVID-19 is the headline right now, and justifiably so. The full range of predictions is on offer, so your confirmation bias will find what it needs on the internet. But Howard Marks said it already:
Exceeding hospital capacity is a key tipping point if things do go south:
Pascal’s wager would suggest that caution is a pretty good option here, whatever you believe.
This feels like a very collective moment – as around the globalised hyper-connected world, we contemplate this new threat together, in real-time. I am certainly aware of my humanity.
Wash your hands.